Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 21.526150 24.421650 27.576659 31.272012 35.484758 40.141411 45.684256
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 17.139337 20.859031 25.213911 30.697526 37.431229 45.447074 55.739032
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 14.271663 18.501263 23.784389 30.888273 40.223117 52.116111 68.490495
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 12.196160 16.771998 22.845040 31.532074 43.703129 60.243668 84.589675
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 10.385493 15.095452 21.713488 31.750150 46.694855 68.294709 102.190902
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 9.224781 14.135777 21.422997 33.113007 51.572391 79.891867 127.194336
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 8.024374 12.920777 20.568259 33.504235 55.100302 90.167068 152.342677
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.800032 11.466901 19.113202 32.706960 56.622653 97.597204 174.488163
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.884142 10.367263 18.054663 32.386795 58.901334 106.736551 201.563514
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.355407 9.846572 17.896880 33.619575 64.177090 122.182682 243.583436
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.950862 9.482786 17.959860 35.275525 70.575193 140.977576 296.340232
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.454443 8.864359 17.448985 35.739159 74.742441 156.254349 345.418601
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.846900 7.945783 16.241769 34.661863 75.718693 165.568809 384.735965
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.328856 7.125257 15.101338 33.528659 76.392898 174.478254 425.608069
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.967107 6.576936 14.444444 33.346803 79.211833 188.912782 483.665604
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.695921 6.183189 14.061015 33.728982 83.474377 207.765381 558.065178
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.432256 5.762667 13.547903 33.712128 86.785408 225.081944 633.276172
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.275994 5.570344 13.539411 34.955286 93.629459 253.146630 746.538476
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.081385 5.251407 13.170106 35.202696 97.896058 275.326993 849.097442
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.850819 4.803094 12.400890 34.234529 98.594249 287.712297 925.348860
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.673665 4.464687 11.860196 33.797478 100.749866 304.917126 1022.359392
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.583400 4.345283 11.886869 35.002404 108.135591 339.900406 1190.171545
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.516425 4.279442 12.051506 36.659229 117.346052 383.038538 1400.663778